Saturday, August 15, 2015

Capacity planning in services

Introduction
in spite of their unique characteristics of heterogeneity, perishability, intangibility and simultaneity (of consumption and production) , services also present problems similar to manufacturing. One such problem is capacity management, however, in service sector it presents additional problem.
On the one hand, firms in the services sector are generally faced with a strong seasonality in demand, and on the other, the presence of the customer when the service is actually being offered is fundamental in the majority of services. This latter fact directly affects the service since it involves personalized demand.
The aim of the present article is to carry out, after a succinct review of the problem inherent in capacity management in service enterprises, the development of a model that permits the calculation of the minimum staff needed to carry out correctly all the functions within a service to be determined, while guaranteeing an expected level of quality (for some measures previously chosen). The spheres of application chosen as implementation examples are the cases of the assignment of staff in hospital nursing and in a catering company.
The capacity management problem in services
As mentioned above, the number of service enterprises is growing considerably in the majority of countries. This increase in competitors means that firms in this sector need to increase their efficiency, productivity and competition, which requires adequate management of the available capacity, a not-at-all simple task.
When speaking of capacity management, the aim is to minimize customer waiting time and to avoid idle capacity, with the goal of attending to demand in time and in the most efficient way possible.
Lovelock (1992) defines the capacity of a service as the highest possible amount of output that may be obtained in a specific period of time with a predefined level of staff, installations and equipment. There exists a certain amount of debate with respect to the identification of a valid measurement of capacity (up until now, developed basically in the industrial sphere, though currently of more and more interest in the services sphere). Some of the causes of imprecision in the measurement of capacity were summarized by Elmaghraby (1991) in six points: the problem of product mix; the problem of setup time; the problem of varying efficiency; the problem of semi-finished items (or subassemblies); the problem of scrap/dropout; and a number of social/cultural/economic considerations.
In addition, other types of considerations have to be taken into account when planning capacity. In the long term, capacity is linked to installations and related to their expansion and contraction in the organization. All this is intimately connected to the concepts of economies of scale and scope. On the other hand, the major barrier for capacity in the short term is to be able to deal with unexpected demands. To do so, Meredith (1992) proposes different alternatives:
1)     Increase resources:
a)     use overtime;
b)    add shifts;
c)     employ “temporary workers”;
d)    use part-time workers;
e)     hire resources;
f)     sub-contract.
2)     Improve the use of resources:
a)     stagger shifts;
b)    program appointments;
c)     accumulate stock (if this is feasible) prior to demand;
d)    queue demand.
3)     Modify the product:
a)     standardize the product;
b)    make the recipient do part of the work;
c)     reduce quality;
d)    transform service operations into product operations that can be itemised.
4)     Modify demand:
a)     vary the price;
b)    carry out promotions.
5)     Not satisfy demand: do not supply the entire demand.
However, the present article proposes a different alternative to these, based on a better planning of available resources (which are considered as a constant).
In the particular case of services, capacity management is made more difficult by the impossibility of making an inventory of the service for its subsequent use, as occurs with the production of goods. The impossibility of synchronizing supply and demand produces a loss in opportunity to attend to certain customers when demand is higher, and supposes high costs due to the loss in income when demand is insufficient and the fixed available capacity is not put to good use  In this sense, capacity management has a considerable impact on the quality of the service perceived by customers
Another of the barriers that has to be resolved in service activities is related to problems arising from seasonal demand. This provokes the need to have models for forecasting the demand for certain periods of time. The ideal situation for a service enterprise would be the possibility of reducing its capacity in periods of low demand and increasing it in the high season . In practice, imbalances are produced which may be managed in two distinct ways: managing the supply for a fixed demand, or managing the demand for a fixed supply
Human resources planning is related to the assignment of the right number of people at the right place and time, in order to perform efficiently the job to be done. Many are the steps in the planning process (from forecasting or recruitment, to rostering definition)  
integrated staffing problem for the Customs at the Auckland International Airport.
 “call center” performance (where more than 50 per cent of total operations cost are associated with staff). Is it possible to reduce the percentage of abandoned calls and increase the percentage of calls answered “quickly”.
In the case of nursing staff (and also police and fire departments in some cities) this problem has even become a political issue. The Clinton administration proposed to set minimum staffing standards, which implied spending $1 billion in federal funds (Harrington, 2001)
 studied the relationship between productivity and quality, remarking on the difficulty of assigning staff based on productivity: in high-contact services (such as nursing) looking for better productivity will usually imply a reduction of the contact time and, therefore, lower quality indices.
This trade-off must be considered by the manager when assigning resources to different departments. When a limited number of resources must be distributed, our model gives an idea of the lower limits that should be maintained.
A proposal of minimum staff model
The goal of our model is to establish minimum capacity levels below which quality may be affected, so as to be able to assign short-term resources on the basis of the demands that arise. In this approach we use historical data in order to disturb as little as possible the quality indices used when making manpower decisions. Thus, having a model that permits the identification of minimum staff levels in a particular service would mean a better distribution of staff among the different units and thus a better use of available resources.

Determination of the estimated times to execute the tasks of the service
The starting point of the model consists in ascertaining as exactly as possible the real execution times, under normal performance conditions, of each of the different tasks that are carried out on a daily basis in a particular service, taking into consideration a standard class of customer. Note that a unique type of homogeneous workers is considered (of the same category), and not all the department will be staffed.
Calculation of the average number of activities per type of customer
Other basic data required are the ascertaining of the average number of times that each of the different tasks is carried out in a given period of time (Table I), as a function of the type of customer. When the standard time defined in the previous step varies highly according to different types of customers, this frequency is used for correction, having in mind that the objective of these values is the theoretical staffing calculation in the next step.
Calculation of theoretical staffing
For each time period for which there is registered historical data, a calculation is made of what would have been the theoretical staffing using a system for evaluating loads. This is the instrument that allows those responsible for the unit to determine its capacity needs on the basis of the activities that foreseeably have to be carried out.
Determination of the Δ ratio
Then, comparing the relative historical data with the actual staffing levels that the service had, we calculate the Δ ratio: the quotient of the real staffing and the theoretical staffing obtained (Table II), for each month for which data are available.
Consolidation of quality data and calculation of minimum staff
The proposed model relates the available quality to specific quality indices (those recorded by the company according to its experience), thus evaluating the services offered (Table II). The quality measures selected can be any of interest to the company. Results will be obviously related to the meaning of the measures selected.
ImageTable IIExpected outcomes from implementing the service guaranteeWith the information obtained in the prior step for a specific time period, together with the registered quality indices, I i , we obtain a relationship such as that given in Table II. Grouping together prior data, we obtain average quality values associated with each range of Δ ratios (Table III), being able to represent different quality indices for each range of Δ values (Figure 2). From all of them we shall obtain a global quality function.
Calculation of minimum staff for a mix of customers

Thus, given a specific service on any one day, the theoretical number of employees on the staff may be calculated as a function of the type of customers received (on the basis of standard times) as well as the minimum admissible number of employees on the staff (multiplying this value by the acceptable Δ ratio).

No comments:

Post a Comment